HLIB Research 30 September 2011 (Gamuda; Traders Brief)

Living in Johor remains exciting. How I wished I was already a resident while writing this post. Anyways, some indication on the sales performance of Gamuda in Nusajaya.


Link to actual source


Gamuda (BUY)
Record breaking year

• FY11 earnings came in at a record high of RM425m (20.7 sen/share), in line with HLIB forecast but 7.6% above consensus numbers.
• Strong performances from all divisions buoyed Gamuda's earnings to record highs, which grew by 32% YoY. Outstanding active order book fell to RM2.3bn (RM2.1bn from EDTP), translating to only 1.2x FY11's construction revenue. Hence, the MRT tunnelling project is crucial for Gamuda to replenish its order book.
• Launches in Bandar Botanic, Horizon Hills and Jade Hills continued to do well with some ~RM300m new sales achieved during 4Q11. Unbilled sales remained at ~RM1bn, translating to 1.4x FY11's property revenue. For FY12 property sales target, Gamuda has already secured ~RM350m new sales out of the targeted RM1.35bn in local property sales.
• As for Vietnam, response has been poor due to the high interest rate environment and the lack of development track records. The management has revised their Vietnam property sales target downwards drastically by >50%, from RM1.5bn to RM650m.
• FD SOP valuation trimmed by 2.8% from RM3.92 to RM3.81 as we introduced a 10% discount in our SOP valuation to reflect the current risk adverse appetite in the market.